It’s frustrating to hear the mainstream media (MSM) lie to us constantly. They spread misinformation every few seconds, and people often repeat these falsehoods without thinking critically.
The Myth of a Close Race
One common myth is that this race will be decided by a handful of votes. That’s not true. Kamala Harris and Tim Walz have been doing great against Trump and his supporters for a while now.
Polls Show a Clear Lead
Current poll averages show Kamala with a significant lead of 3-4 points. This lead is likely even larger because polls often lag behind the latest public sentiment by a couple of weeks.
Expecting a Bigger Lead
In about 10 days, Kamala’s lead could grow to 6 points or more. This prediction aligns with what we’ve seen in recent weeks, despite some people calling it overly optimistic.
Trump’s Self-Destructive Behavior
Trump continues to make mistakes and seems to dig himself deeper every time he speaks. He tends to choke under pressure, which could make Kamala’s lead even bigger.
Desperate Tactics from Trump and His Allies
As Kamala’s lead grows, Trump and his supporters are likely to become more desperate. Here are some tactics they might use:
- Buying support from other candidates like Jill Stein and Cornel West.
- Suppressing votes and refusing to certify votes across the country.
- Bribing judges to help them in their efforts.
- Planning acts of violence or threats to intimidate voters.
- Seeking help from foreign dictators.
- Creating false flag events to blame on Democrats.
- Manipulating the media to hurt Kamala or help Trump.
Media Bias and Its Consequences
Our media often helps Republicans, even without being pushed. For example, CNN’s Gary Tuchman recently staged a fake focus group to mislead viewers. This should be a major scandal, but nothing will happen because our media is biased.
The Challenge for Democrats
Due to media bias, Democrats like Kamala have to win by a large margin to actually come out on top. Despite this, Kamala is likely to get the necessary support, but many things can go wrong in the next two months.
Pollster Errors and the Dobbs Decision
Pollsters have often underestimated the Democratic vote, especially after the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision, which has shifted many voters to the left. This shift has been missed by pollsters, making their predictions less reliable.
Potential for a Landslide Victory
If current trends continue, Kamala could end up winning by a landslide. Here’s a rough hypothetical:
- By mid-September, Kamala is ahead by 6 points.
- Republicans panic and make mistakes, further boosting Kamala’s lead.
- Kamala and Walz continue to outperform Republicans, gaining another 2 points in the polls.
- On Election Day, the “Dobbs effect” gives Democrats an additional 2-point bump.
This would result in a 10-point victory, flipping states like Texas and Florida to blue and securing a big margin in the House and Senate.
Conclusion
While this scenario is not guaranteed, it’s clear that the media and talking heads often underestimate the potential for a Democratic victory. With continued effort and vigilance, a significant win is within reach.
FAQ’s
1. What does the article mean by “Dead Heat” in the context of the 2024 election?
– In the context of the article, a “Dead Heat” refers to a situation where the candidates are neck and neck, with no clear winner. However, the author argues that this is not the case in the 2024 election.
2. Who are the main candidates mentioned in the article?
– The main candidates mentioned are Kamala Harris (Democratic candidate), Donald Trump (Republican candidate), and JD Vance (Republican candidate).
3. What is the current polling situation according to the article?
– The article states that Kamala Harris has a significant lead of 3-4 points over Donald Trump, with the potential for her lead to increase further.
4. Why does the author believe Kamala Harris will likely win?
– The author believes Kamala Harris will likely win because she has been consistently performing well in polls, and her lead is expected to grow as post-convention sentiment is not yet fully reflected in the polls.
5. What are some of the criticisms of Donald Trump mentioned in the article?
– The article criticizes Donald Trump for his handling of the campaign, stating that he continues to do everything wrong and tends to behave more poorly under pressure. This behavior is expected to worsen his chances.
6. What are some of the tactics the author believes Donald Trump and his supporters might use to try and turn the election around?
– The author speculates that Trump and his supporters might resort to desperate measures such as:
– Buying influence: The author mentions that Trump might be trying to buy influence by supporting fringe candidates like Jill Stein or Cornel West.
– Voting suppression: The author suggests that there could be efforts to suppress votes, refuse to certify votes, and intimidate voters.
– Judicial manipulation: The author believes that Trump’s supporters might try to influence judges to help in these efforts.
– International interference: The author speculates about potential international interference from Trump’s allies.
7. Why does the author think these tactics will fail?
– The author believes these tactics will fail because they are increasingly desperate and likely to backfire. For example, buying influence from fringe candidates has not shown significant results so far.
8. What is the significance of the Democratic National Convention (DNC) in this context?
– The article implies that the post-convention sentiment is not yet fully reflected in the polls, suggesting that Kamala Harris’s performance might improve after the convention.
9. How does the author view JD Vance’s role in this election?
– The author does not provide extensive details about JD Vance but mentions him in the context of Trump’s campaign, suggesting that Vance’s involvement is part of Trump’s broader strategy.
10. What is meant by “Nazi thugs and billionaire Nazi backers” in the article?
– The term “Nazi thugs” refers to supporters of Donald Trump who are perceived as extreme or violent. The term “billionaire Nazi backers” refers to wealthy individuals who support Trump’s campaign.
11. Why does the author use strong language when describing Trump’s supporters?
– The author uses strong language to emphasize their perceived extreme views and actions, which they believe are detrimental to democratic processes.
12. What is the overall tone of the article?
– The overall tone of the article is critical of Donald Trump and his supporters, while being optimistic about Kamala Harris’s chances.
13. How does the article address concerns about election integrity?
– The article expresses concerns about potential voter suppression, refusal to certify votes, and intimidation tactics by Trump’s supporters, highlighting these as serious issues.
14. What predictions does the author make about future developments in this election?
– The author predicts that Kamala Harris’s lead will continue to grow as post-convention sentiment becomes more apparent in polls. They also anticipate that Trump’s behavior will become more erratic under pressure.
15. How does this article contribute to broader discussions about media accuracy and critical thinking?
– The article argues against what it perceives as misleading media reports by emphasizing critical thinking and fact-based analysis. It encourages readers not to mindlessly repeat media tropes but to evaluate information critically.
16. What role does international politics play in this election according to the article?
– The article speculates about potential international interference from Trump’s allies but does not provide detailed information on this topic.
17. How does this article address cultural or social issues in the context of the election?
– The article touches on cultural issues by labeling some of Trump’s supporters as “Nazi thugs,” implying a connection between their views and extremist ideologies.
18. What is meant by “Project 2025” mentioned in the article?
– There is no specific information provided in the article about “Project 2025.” It seems to be an unrelated term or possibly a typo.
19. How does this article engage with broader political themes such as immigration and debate performance?
– The article does not delve deeply into specific themes like immigration or debate performance but focuses primarily on the competitive dynamics between candidates and potential voter suppression tactics.
20. What is the author’s overall stance on this election?
– The author is optimistic about Kamala Harris’s chances, believing she will likely win due to her strong performance in polls and Trump’s continued mistakes.
