Poll Analysis: Harris vs. Trump
Recent polls are showing some interesting trends. Let’s take a closer look at the numbers.
General Election Polls
Here are the latest general election polls comparing Kamala Harris and Donald Trump:
Harris Leading in Multiple Polls
- New General Election Poll:
🔵 Harris 53% (+6)
🔴 Trump 47%
Last poll – 🔵 Harris +4
Outward #N/A – 1880 LV – 9/19 - New @CBSNews General Election Poll:
🔵 Harris 52% (+4)
🔴 Trump 48%
Last poll – 🔵 Harris +3
YouGov #B – LV – 9/20 - New @NBCNews General Election Poll:
🔵 Harris 49% (+5)
🔴 Trump 44%
Last poll (8/4) – 🔴 Trump +2
NBC #B – 1000 RV – 9/17 - New General Election Poll:
🔵 Harris 49% (+4)
🔴 Trump 45%
FAU #B – 810 LV – 9/17
All Candidates Poll
When including other candidates, Harris still leads:
- 🔵 Harris 50%
- 🔴 Trump 45%
- 🟣 West 3%
- 🟢 Stein 2%
Another General Election Poll
- New General Election Poll:
🔵 Harris 49% (+4)
🔴 Trump 45%
Last poll (9/10) – 🟡 Tie
YouGov (Economist) #B – https 1441 RV – 9/17
What Do These Numbers Mean?
Most national polls are showing Harris leading by 4-6 points, usually around 4 or 5 points.
For context, Barack Obama won the 2012 election by 3.6 points and the 2008 election by 7.2 points. If Harris wins by 4-5 points, we could see an electoral vote count similar to Obama’s totals in either year.
Conclusion
While not all polls show the same results, the majority indicate a favorable trend for Harris. This could be significant as we approach the election.
