Was a totally insane move really totally genius? It could be if Iranians realize Trump is crazy.

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Vox / YouTube Trump quits Iran nuclear deal undoing 1557918029.jpg...
Vox / YouTube

The CIA specialist on Iran may be half right. Trump probably has flummoxed the Iranian leadership. Totally is too strong a word. But I think that the fact that they allowed General Suleimani to be so physically vulnerable to assassination suggests they didn’t think Trump would take this step.

“Trump actually has a very strong hand vis-à-vis the clerical regime,” said Reuel Marc Gerecht, a former C.I.A. specialist on Iran at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, an organization that has rallied opposition to Iran’s government. “Whether he chooses to play it, I don’t know. He’s not a strategist. But his tactical game hasn’t been bad. The hit on Suleimani was genius — totally flummoxed his opponent.” fromThe Washington Post

 

This premise would have been based on their belief that Trump was a rational actor. Iranian leaders should have read “The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump” and consulted with their own top psychiatrists, but if they haven’t before they should be doing this prior to taking further action.

What Trump did was totally predictable not just by the numerous mental health professionals who diagnosed Trump; but by thinking people who have become conversant in their understanding of psychopathology vis a vie Trump’s behavior. From those non-MH professionals who talked about it early on like George Conway, Lawrence O’Donnell, Joe and Mika, and Rick Wilson to, in the past months, almost everyone on MSNBC (finally it has dawned on Rachel Maddow) it is a matter of general agreement that Trump acts on impulses driven by a psychiatric disorder.

If what Trump did does turn out to be “genius” in that it stops Iran from pushing the second stone down the mountain thus starting an unstoppable avalanche ending in a war that ignites the Middle East it will accidental genius. Not the genius of a strategic mastermind, but the genius of fate.

The only geniuses around Trump might be those who have figured out that they have to play the hand they were dealt: a mentally unstable president who projects his madness by making statements as he did twice about destroying cultural sites while his own Secretary of State denied he has any intention of committing this war crime.

The only way an all-out war can be avoided seems to be to convince the Iranian leadership that Trump is crazy enough to escalate up to and possibly including using nuclear weapons.

I can see Trump meeting with his generals asking for a monetary cost analysis (not in human lives but a dollar-cost) of a major attack using conventional weapons versus using nuclear weapons.

In 2015, the United States had an estimated 7,300 nuclear weapons, with the average annual per-unit cost is about $1.8 million to maintain them. Trump could very well think that with 7,300 nukes he might as well get the war over quickly and possibly with less actual cost.

Remember this story from Aug. 3, 2013 during the campaign?

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Donald Trump asked a foreign policy expert advising him why the U.S. can’t use nuclear weapons, MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough said on the air Wednesday, citing an unnamed source who claimed he had spoken with the GOP presidential nominee.

“Several months ago, a foreign policy expert on the international level went to advise Donald Trump. And three times [Trump] asked about the use of nuclear weapons. Three times he asked at one point if we had them why can’t we use them,” Scarborough said on his “Morning Joe” program.

Scarborough made the Trump comments 52 seconds into an interview with former Director of Central Intelligence and ex-National Security Agency Director Michael Hayden.

CNBC reached out to the Trump campaign via email and was awaiting a response and obviously never received one.

Does anybody doubt that if a reporter asked Trump whether he’d consider using nuclear weapons against Iran his answer would be along the lines of “nothing is off the table?”

The Iranians aren’t going to consult with me. If they did this is what I’d suggest. I would tell them that doing nothing would be their best alternative even though their population is clamoring for revenge. President  Hassan Rouhani would show great wisdom if he took the high road and said that President Trump has proven that he is unfit to be a world leader and that he had nothing but sympathy for the people of the United States. He should not escalate in any dramatic way. Rather he should continue business as usual when it came to fighting against the United States. He should in no way give Trump a victory by justifying his unlawful assassination.

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16 Comments on "Was a totally insane move really totally genius? It could be if Iranians realize Trump is crazy."

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chris whitley
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chris whitley

Trump is no genius. Far from it. He’s only a New York street thug that has some money. And according to reports people are saying that the money he has comes from Russia. Which if I’m not mistaken is illegal due to sanctions against Russia. And if this idiot along with Pompous are allowed anywhere near policy efforts it is on the genius that’s letting them as they are off the clock where sanity is involved!

Sid Waxman
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Sid Waxman

I agree Trump is no genius and that he is no better than the common New York street thug, but not brave enough to be on the street. Sometime before he became president, his sons (No Not Barron) said they had no money worries, they got all they needed from Russia.

Trump and Russia go through major efforts to conceal the flow of money to Trump by thrashing (back and forth) transactions in international banking.

chris whitley
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chris whitley
That would have been Eric. I think trump might wonder where his mother got that one. I heard a guy talking that said Iran wouldn’t just jump up and come to negotiation table. You think? And big bully trump probably wants to strike back now. More likely pompussy. He’s the one responsible for taking out general. They gave him an out by offering him a senator seat. He declined. What he’s looking at is president. And god help us if he would get it. I also see that McConnell is refusing to have witnesses. They are moving ahead with impeachment… Read more »
DHG
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Trump killed the general to protect his own hiney and nothing else. Trump is not crazy he knows exactly what he is doing and is doing it on purpose. He loses power he is done and he knows it, he will kill anyone including Americans to meet that end.

Dick PanicoL
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Dick PanicoL

He’s still crazy . Because he’s self destructive
and is destroying our country .
That’s crazy !

Dick PanicoL
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Dick PanicoL

Yes , he will stop at nothing to protect his
ass , but he’s gone TO FAR.

Nobsartist
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Nobsartist

He doesn’t have any valid nuclear launch codes. He is mentally ill and they are just playing along with him. If he tries to use them two SEAL teams will “stop” him.

Mick owens
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Mick owens

Yeah!!, really!!!!, i dont think so Tim

Le Borgne
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Le Borgne

The Ayatollah already knows Trump is insane; Read the news. He does not hold Americans responsible for Suleimani’s death. He already has his minions targeting Trump-labled hotels, resorts and office buildings. If your employer schedules an internal conference at one, find another employer!

J.M.
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J.M.

His base is rascist, the rest of the mob is just worried about re-election, he doesn’t have to answer to the constitution of any laws. There aren’t any consequences to suffer. I’ve never felt safer and more at peace. Good night! 😴

David Bishop
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David Bishop

Joint Chiefs of Staff committed this murder, trump doesn’t get sole blame for it. Our military heroes continuing to make us safe and secure, right?

Dick PanicoL
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Dick PanicoL

I don’t think this was a joint chiefs decision.
Trump’s Commander in chief . It was his call
like the super bomb , that killed hundreds of innocent people.

David Bishop
Guest
David Bishop

Did trump guide the control switch from the bunker 5K miles away from the airport where the drone struck? No, it was the Pentagon, the Pentagon, soldiers, American Heroes, assassinated this target. Trump takes the credit or we give it to him.

Dick PanicoL
Guest
Dick PanicoL
Look folks , Trump says Iran is lying . Iran says Trump’s lying . All newspapers call Trump a lier . All (our allies )call Trump a lier . He’s been recently recorded as having (lied over 15,000 )times . So you be the judges, who’s lying ? Everyone , including his friends know Trump’s a compulsive lier . There’s no one that has disputed Trump’s constantly lying . So by default, Trump is still lying (again) ! So what’s new ? We can’t believe a word the President says ! He has to go , before he gets us… Read more »
Sid Waxman
Guest
Sid Waxman

“(finally it has dawned on Rachel Maddow)”

Rachel doesn’t have time to reflect on these things. She’s too busy preparing lesson plans for her daily history lesson (during which she thrice repeats) to her loyal fans.

chris whitley
Guest
chris whitley
I forgot what I was thinking. John Bolton knows nothing about Ukraine Is that because he was in the middle of the scheme or what? And I was reminded of what trump said. The president of Ukraine said no pressure. Would that be before or after his White House meeting and his receiving all of his aid.oh yeah, he has not received all of his aid and didn’t get his White House meeting. Now is it just me or do other people see a problem here? I myself wouldn’t say anything to jeopardize my aid package. I sorta do believe… Read more »