Republicans are on track to lose the midterm elections
Liz Cheney has been purged from the Republican House leadership because she had the audacity to refuse to bow down to Trump. She’s not the first Republican to reject membership in the Trump cult and she won’t be the last.
I think what the rest of us are wondering is why the Republican Party remains so loyal to a one term, twice impeached ex-president living in exile and ranting on his own website because he has been banned from social media.
Have you seen his ratings lately? They are so bad that the party is hiding them from donors and even members of Congress.
An NBC News Poll from April found that Trump’s favorability ratings among all voters was 32%. It’s only 14% among independent voters.
Even Republicans’ own internal polling shows abysmal results. In April, Trump’s unfavorable ratings are 15 points higher than his favorable ratings. Twice as many voters had very unfavorable views of him than voters who had very favorable views of him.
Adding insult to injury, in those same districts where the polling was conducted which I assume were areas that were thought to be favorable to Trump and Trumpism, both Biden and Harris were more popular than Trump.
No wonder the NRC is hiding those internal polls.
Yet they are allowing Trump to choose which candidates run in which races. They are allowing him to primary senators and representatives who voted to impeach or convict him. And they are allowing him to float the idea that he will run in 2024, even musing about possible running mates.
All despite the fact that 2/3 of voters have unfavorable views of him. Two thirds! That’s more than half for those of us who are mathematically challenged.
What party in their right mind would run a candidate for president that only 1/3 of voters viewed in a favorable light?
Oh wait. Trump’s approval ratings were pretty stable throughout his presidency at only 38%. So I can see why a 32% approval rating for him doesn’t strike anyone as reason to prevent him from running again.
Still, I fail to understand why Republicans have staked their future on a deeply unpopular, mentally ill old man.
What’s that old expression? Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it?
I got two words for Republicans: Tea Party. Remember what happened to them in the 2010 midterms? They won big in the primaries and lost big in the general election. Too radical.
The lesson? If you allow Trump to run MAGA candidates in the 2022 primaries, they will probably win their primary elections but they are practically guaranteed to lose in the general election. And you want to win the midterms, right?
You are so close to winning control of both the House (17 seats) and the Senate (1 seat), why are you willing to throw that all away to keep Trump and his cult members happy?
Look what you’re up against. A popular president with a 63% approval rating according to an Associated Press-NORC poll released May 10. That’s up 2 points since late March. It also says that 23% of Republicans approve of what Biden has done in his first three months in office.
54% of Americans say that the nation is on the right track. 71% approve of the way Biden has been handling the pandemic. That includes 47% of Republicans.
So you are up against a president who is twice as popular as Trump was at any time during his presidency.
The reason that I am boring you with all of these statistics is that the midterm elections are traditionally a referendum on how voters feel that the incumbent president is doing. Usually they are disgruntled and vote for opposition candidates.
I don’t see any signs of disgruntlement, do you?
And why, oh why, are you advocating the Big Lie that the election was stolen? Trump is just a spoiled little boy who is used to getting his own way. He cannot accept that he lost the election and he thinks that if he has a temper tantrum and screams loud enough, the election results will be changed and he can be president again.
I can almost see thinking the election was stolen if it was close and Biden wasn’t a very popular president. But Biden won with 8 million votes and is immensely popular, even among Republicans.
It’s time to face reality or those 100 Republicans will release their letter and form their own party. A party that hews to the ideals that the original Republican party was founded on.
While the rest of you continue worshipping your false idol and be consigned to the proverbial dustbin of history.