Have you noticed the change in the mood around Trump?
For a long time, it seemed like no matter what he did, no one spoke back to him and there were no consequences.
Little by little, that has changed.
Some changes have been subtle; others much more noticeable.
There is a crack in his support and it is only going to get bigger. And when a crack gets big enough, it eventually breaks wide open. That is will happen here: the floodgates are going to open against this president.
We are seeing signs of this coming flood from many places.
First, We Are Seeing the Diminishment of his Power
It isn’t just white suburban women who switched to Democrats. Parts of rural and white working class America peeled off too.
America’s polarized citizenry took a break from intense partisan bickering to produce the highest off-year turnout in a midterm election in 50 years on Nov. 6. Is it possible that all that effort actually nudged us forward a bit?
Because the votes were counted so slowly across the country, we were also slow to realize that Democrats had won the national congressional vote by a margin greater than that of the Tea Party Republicans in 2010. In fact, Democrats overcame huge structural hurdles to win nearly 40 seats.
Unlike most of his predecessors, he’s been persistently unpopular, with approval ratings mired in the 40-percent range — so far, he’s the only president in the modern era whose job approval ratings have never been over 50 percent, according to Gallup.
“This is now the party of Donald Trump. I read articles saying the Republican Party has merged with the Trump coalition — they have no choice. Trump voters own the Republican Party. That’s consolidated,” said John McLaughlin, who was part of the team of pollsters working on Trump’s 2016 campaign. “The bad part is they haven’t broadened [his coalition]. They haven’t gotten his job approval over 50 percent, like Reagan. We haven’t done that.”
President Donald Trump is feeling the heat.
That’s true legally, with regard to what we keep learning about special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia probe and the fact that Democrats in the House ― with outgoing Republican Intelligence Committee Chairman Devin Nunes no longer able to protect Trump ― will also now truly investigate the issue, even if Trump fires Mueller.
But it’s also true for both Trump and the Republican Party, electorally.
Trump and certainly his political aides must see that his greatest campaign weapon ― viciously assaulting immigrants and people of color with racist rhetoric and actions ― misfired spectacularly in the midterms and is likely to do the same in 2020.
Without that, Trump’s pretty much got nothing.
Second, We Are Seeing More And More Evidence of the Size and Power of the Blue Wave
At the rate late-counted ballots have broken, #CA21 Rep. David Valadao (R) isn’t just in “jeopardy,” he’s probably the underdog. That means the likeliest House outcome at the moment is a Dem gain of *40 seats.*
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 21, 2018
In terms of raw votes, the Democratic margin—now at around 8,800,000—has already topped the widest margin by which either party has earned more votes in a midterm.
The prior record was set by the Democrats in the post-Watergate 1974 midterms. https://t.co/YF77B86MNI
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) November 21, 2018
They are longtime friends who have been bridesmaids in each other’s weddings, worked for and with each other for years, and supported one another with daily text chains and phone calls. And on Nov. 6, these five Democratic women candidates each won their state Senate races by double digits in Colorado, with their wins flipping the Senate from red to blue for the first time since 2013.
“We were all in it together,” Jessie Danielson, a state representative who brought her toddler daughter on the campaign trail, tells PEOPLE. The wins, she says, were “pretty amazing.”
Faith Winter, a state representative who beat out a Republican incumbent for her Senate win, worked with Danielson years ago at Emerge Colorado, a group that finds and trains women candidates to run for local and state office.
Third, We Are Seeing Cracks in The Forces That Protect Trump
Senate Foreign Relations Committee leadership is demanding a definitive determination from President Trump about whether Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia ordered the killing of Jamal Khashoggi
The bipartisan leadership of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee is demanding a definitive determination from President Donald Trump about whether Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia ordered the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.
In a letter to Trump, the panel’s chairman, Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), and ranking member, Sen. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.), specifically asked on Tuesday whether the administration believed that bin Salman was involved in the murder of Khashoggi, who wrote for The Washington Post and was killed in the Saudi Arabian consulate in Istanbul, Turkey, last month. Trump gave no ruling on bin Salman’s involvement in a statement earlier Tuesday that largely sided with Saudi Arabia, declaring that “maybe he did and maybe he didn’t!”
We have just witnessed what can now—after the accounting of several races that went uncalled on election night—be described as an all-out shellacking for Trump and Trumpism.
Between the impending conclusion of the Mueller probe and the promise of oversight from various Democratic-controlled House committees come January, it’s clear that the president is starting to panic. And it’s easy to see why—given his tax returns, financial dealings, Russian investments, and other wrongdoing being surfaced in litigation, he has a good deal to worry about.
But that brings us once more to the greatest and least appreciated place at which President Donald Trump is proving to be the losing-est loser of all: the courts. Because they happen so frequently, it’s almost impossible to keep track of all the massive and consequential rulings against this president and his administration that are logged every week and rarely viewed in the aggregate. But let’s try: Late Monday night, a federal judgeissued a temporary restraining order blocking the president’s Nov. 9 rule that barred migrants from applying for asylum unless they made the request at a legal checkpoint. The judge’s order applies nationally. Last Friday’s decision—by a Trump-appointed judge—to side with CNN against the White House in a dispute about revoked press credentials is only the most recent iteration of a near-constant drip-drip of legal losses. Even with a bench now containing almost 1 in 6 Trump appointed judges (and these are not your President Bush–edition conservative judges), Trump mainly loses, and then loses some more.
A judge has thrown out Trump's motion to dismiss the New York A.G.'s lawsuit against the Trump Foundation.
Justice Saliann Scarpulla denied Trump's arguments that the suit was rooted in political bias and found it fell within the office's jurisdiction. https://t.co/T3Rj8sYlBi
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) November 23, 2018
Fourth, We Are Seeing The Power A Democratically Controlled House Will Have Over Trump
6) Also as @ThePlumLineGS reported earlier, Rep. Eliot Engel, the incoming chair of the House Foreign relations committee, may investigate whether the Trump administration went along with the Saudi regime’s attempts to whitewash #khashoggi’s murder.https://t.co/83gjN5PpGJ
— Karen Attiah (@KarenAttiah) November 21, 2018
One of President Trump’s biggest foes is taking steps to chase the Trump-Russia money trail.
The committee is looking to hire money-laundering and forensic accounting experts, three sources familiar with the plans confirm to The Daily Beast. One Democratic committee office said the purpose of the potential new hires is to examine unanswered financial questions about Trump and Russia, but their work could apply broadly across the panel’s intelligence oversight.
Adam Schiff confirms that the House Intel Committee will be examining what intelligence concluded about Jamal Khashoggi’s murder and whether Trump is downplaying the findings, along with other questions related to Trump’s response to the Khashoggi murder.
Schiff says Intel Dems will delve into Trump’s international financial entanglements — on the Saudi matter and others.”There are a whole set of potential financial conflicts … and emoluments problems that Congress will need to get to the bottom of.”
Fifth, We Are Seeing That Trump’s Loyal Base Is Small And Not Successful
Researchers looking into political and social divides in America said in a new study that only 6% of American fit the definition of far right, people who feel that America is under threat and they’re the last line of defense in protecting traditional values with strident uncompromising views.
Steve Bannon’s political operation to help rightwing populists triumph in next year’s European parliamentary elections is in disarray after he conceded that his campaign efforts could be illegal in most of the countries in which he planned to intervene.
Sixth, We Are Seeing The Power of Robert Mueller’s Investigation
Conservative writer and conspiracy theorist Jerome Corsi is in plea negotiations with special counsel Robert S. Mueller III
The talks with Corsi — an associate of both President Trump and GOP operative Roger Stone — could bring Mueller’s team closer to determining whether Trump or his advisers were linked to WikiLeaks’ release of hacked Democratic emails in 2016, a key part of his long-running inquiry.
Corsi provided research on Democratic figures during the campaign to Stone, a longtime Trump adviser.
Corsi also has a relationship with Trump, built on their shared interest in the falsehood that President Barack Obama was not born in the United States.
It is not clear what information Corsi could leverage to get a deal with prosecutors. However, he told the Daily Caller last week that prosecutors are focused on whether he had developed a source with inside information about WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange’s plans.
If Mueller could prove that Corsi learned about Podesta’s emails from Assange or another person in contact with him, he could try to link WikiLeaks’ releases to Stone or others in Trump’s world.
2/ The money quote: after confirming plea negotiations with Mueller are indeed ongoing, "[Corsi] declin[ed] to comment further except to say there may be further developments next week."
— Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) November 23, 2018
All of these factors add up to a downward slope for Trump. He’ll try every trick he can come up with, but none of them will work. There is just too much pushing against him. There is no going back on the free-fall that is this presidency.
And THAT is good news!
Happy weekend everyone.
I am super thankful and proud to be in this with all of you ❤️ ✊ ❤️