I hope it’s not bad news. You know i can’t take bad news! Prince John Robin Hood, Men In Tights Wow. Little wonder that the White House hairdresser had to spray an extra coat of lacquer on His Lowness’ hair to keep it from sticking our like yellow horns, after that last FOX News poll. But while the fact that 50% of the respondents in a FOX News poll support bouncing Trump out on his plush, padded ass got the top headline, there are some other numbers in there that, upon calm reflection, should be even more alarming than that not only for Trump, but for the GOP writ large. For starters, while 50% support impeachment with removal, 54% support impeachment without removal. This is important because it means that the Democrats educational drive is working. More Americans are becoming aware of the fact that simple impeachment does not mean immediate removal from office. And while they may not necessarily feel that his shenanigans warrant removal from office, they’re fine with the public and historical slap in the chops of for his churlish behavior. And we all know how Trump feels about public dressings down. By a whopping 60-24% margin, respondents think that it is not permissible for a sitting President to ask a foreign government for help investigating a domestic opponent. This is important because it means that at least nearly half of the shambling Trombies out there realize that this is a bad precedent to establish, since it would mean that somebody else could do it to them in the future. I would be surprised if this wasn’t a factor in some of that 54% who support impeachment without removal. By a plurality of Americans, people felt that a) Trump actually committed bribery in his little Ukraine kerfuffle, b) was not cooperating sufficiently with congress in the impeachment process, meaning that they think there’s smoke there, and want to find the fire, and c) think that the Democrats are conducting the impeachment process fairly, which means that not only are they paying attention to the process, but also that idjits like Gaetz, Collins, and Jordan are screaming at deaf ears. None of this is good news for Trump, because it means that people realize that he’s full of shit on this, but it’s even worse for the GOP, because people don’t appreciate their attempts to sweep this under the rug. But here are the two most important ones to my mind. Since this last FOX News poll, support among independents for impeachment with removal is up 7 points, to 45%. This is potentially critical, since in the months following Trump’s “coronation,” when more moderate voters started fleeing the GOP like horses from a burning barn, very few of them went full pendulum and became Democrats. Most simply switched their affiliation to “independent.” This is bad news for Trump, since he desperately needs to woo those voters back if he’s going to recreate the miracle of 2016, and instead ore and more of them want him gone even before 2020. But it’s even worse news for the GOP, since Trump’s “base” isn’t enough to win most districts, and if those independents are souring sufficiently on The Mango Messiah, they’re unlikely to either show up, or split the ticket to vote Republican down ballot. Which could end up being critical because When asked […]
I never seen such a thing! Moe Howard Politics has a lot of old sayings and old traditions, mainly because it’s so old. And one of the most universally understood and accepted traditions is that there’s just something about presidential elections. Never mind that congress actually does the heavy lifting, having that name at the top of the ticket makes all the difference in the world. In fact, wide swaths of voters in both parties simply sit at home and skip the midterm elections for the simple reason that there’s no president on the ballot. Because of that fact, a great deal of care goes into selecting the presidential candidate. And not just in hopes of winning the presidency. The old adage is that a strong, popular candidate at the top of the ticket can bring out voters who might not show up otherwise, and that effect will help all of the candidates in that party down ballot. That actually makes a lot of sense, and that’s probably why it’s pretty well accepted. But because I’m so closely involved in observing this glorious combat on a daily basis, I pick things up. And after the results of last nights off year elections in Virginia and Kentucky, I noticed something, a pattern. So I stepped back and looked at it through a wider lens, over a longer period of time. And I’m seeing a pattern that I think may show that the outcome of the 2020 presidential election may be unlike anything we’ve ever seen before in terms of the ultimate decider. In 2016, with Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on the ballot, nationwide the Democrats beat the GOP in the popular vote by almost 3 million votes. But the very next year, in 2017, with no presidential candidate on the ballot, the Democrats in Virginia out polled the GOP statewide by more than 200,000 votes, literally coming within a random name draw of tying the House of Delegates. In 2018, with no presidential name on the ballot, the Democrats flipped 40 seats, and more than doubled their nationwide vote domination over the GOP. And last night, in Virginia and Kentucky, once again with no presidential name on the ballot, the Democrats completed the statewide sweep of Virginia government, and flipped a governor’s seat in a state that Trump won by 30+ points in 2016. You all know my old saying, once is an accident, twice is a habit, and three times is a fetish. How in the hell did the Democrats manage to maintain that momentum, to keep driving large numbers of voters out to the polls year after year, with no presidential candidate to drive enthusiasm? Well, they did it the old fashioned way, with qualified, personable candidates, and good old fashioned sweat equity. They built their campaigns from the ground up, with grassroots support, and maintained their independence in the minds of voters. They talked to anybody, any time, anywhere. And they knocked on doors. Lordy, did they knock on doors. One woman running for a delegates seat in Virginia literally dropped 15 lbs from the simple effort of knocking on as many doors every day as her legs and knuckles would tolerate. Oh, and my personal favorite, the woman who went viral and got fired from her job for flipping […]
I have good news and bad news. The bad news is that there’s no good news. The good news is that that’s all the bad news there is. The vote on the resolution that passed the House Rules committee yesterday will formalize the next steps in the seemingly neverending impeachment process of Emperor Numbus Nuttus. And as we open that door, here’s a brief status report on what baggage we’re carrying through the check in line with us. The Good – You all know that I have been positively gushing about how the Democrats finally took advantage and seized the narrative from the GOP on the Trump-Ukraine scandal, and how effectively they did it. You can see the results every day, the GOP is flailing to try to find a coherent message with which to Defend Glorious Bleater. Well, the good news is that the Democrats have gotten even better. They have a catch phrase for this investigation that is devastating. If you’re over 40, and anybody says to you, “Mikey likes it!”, your mind immediately conjures up a box of LIFE cereal. If I say to the same person, “Be like Mike,” Michael Jordan’s impishly grinning face immediately springs to mind. Some slogans just become iconic for their generation. And for this political generation, The ABC’s of Impeachment is just such a slogan. It’s catchy, it’s memorable, and it’s easy to understand. For the last 24 hours, every Democrat who has gone before a camera has gone to great pains to mention and fully explain it. And the media is doing their part as well, that story has been a part of the A-Bloc every hour yesterday on MSNBC and CNN. If the Democrats keep hammering this home, The ABC’s of Impeachment will become the Death Panels for Granny of this fight. It’s what will motivate, and move the needle on public opinion. The Democrats have found their unifying message for the upcoming impeachment battle. The Bad – The Democrats are starting to micro manage, and if they’re not careful, it could cost them. By sanctifying the impeachment procedures today with a vote, the Democrats are signaling that they’re ready to move on to the next phase. So, quit dicking around and fucking move on with it already! The whistle blower’s complaint was serious, and eye catching. And when they found a corroborating witness, Trump’s impeachment was basically sealed as far as the House was concerned. Look, we get it already. First there was the whistle blower’s complaint. Then we found a witness that corroborated the complaint. And then we found another witness that corroborated the corroboration for the whistle blower’s complaint. And now we are working on at least the sixth generation of corroboration of the whistle blower’s complaint. Enough already! Look, the complaint is simple, it’s easy to understand. You now have more than enough corroborating witnesses for the original allegations. Move on with it. If you take a Chrysler van, you can add a racing stripe, slick chrome wheels and hubcaps, and spoilers front and back, but guess what? It’s still a fucking minivan, not a Ferrari! Saying something once is informational. Saying it twice is a reminder. Starting with the third time, it’s called nagging. People want to see and hear the evidence, not hear about how much more of the same evidence you’re collecting, be done with […]
Sometimes people in Washington get it plain wrong!
If conservatives support police killing citizens without justification, climate denial, fact denial, science denial, racist and misogynistic behavior, or a litany of other absurd points of view about numerous important issues, we call them out.