In GOP land tonight, corks are coming out of bottles and not to celebrate. Oh, no. Republican senators running for reelection are pouring a stiff one and trying to figure out what to do.Jeff Sessions’ efforts to kiss and make up with Donald Trump went catastrophically south. Trump just doubled and tripled down and humiliated the man, whatever he said. So the message Republican senators have now is, the wrath of Trump will destroy you. However, common sense is saying, as Trump’s polls continue to crater, that being aligned with Trump is not the most desirable thing either. So what to do? This is quite a pickle and I certainly wouldn’t want to be Susan Collins, Martha McSally, Thom Tillis or Cory Gardner tonight. But it would be nice to be Doug Jones. Jones’ senate seat is said to be the most vulnerable seat up for election, but I disagree and I’m going to tell you why in just a moment. As you recall, Jones ran against Humbert Humbert imitator Roy Moore in a special election to fill Jeff Sessions’ vacant senate seat. And won. And it was expected when Trump and Sessions parted company that Sessions would run for his old senate seat and handily regain it. That did not take place. Sessions lost to contender Tommy Tuberville. This is no small matter. A very big deal went down tonight in Alabama. Former football coach Tommy Tuberville has no experience in politics and his platform consists entirely of supporting Donald Trump. Sessions may have had four terms as a senator from Alabama and been part of that political establishment but he blew his campaign by reiterating how supportive he was of Donald Trump’s agenda, at a time when Trump was telling Alabamians that Sessions had stabbed him in the back, in so many words. Sessions’ key error was to try and smooth over the damage done by his contretemps with Trump and in so doing, he looked like a man of zero integrity, one, and even worse, as a man who believed his constituents were so stupid that they would believe that yes, Trump hated him, but it didn’t matter because he was supporting Trump anyway. It did not fly. So where does that leave the Jones v. Tuberville match? Far better off than you might surmise, the reason being that Sessions going down in flames may just be a sign of the times. The Republican party is about to undergo a major transformation. The election of Trump has only uncovered the rot and corruption in the party and there will be a new cast of characters in the future, as some form of the GOP rises from the ashes after Trump finishes burning it to the ground. Doug Jones might be sitting pretty. I’m not the only one who thinks so. Read this piece from Matthew Stokes, The Bulwark: Tuberville’s rise has something of the scent of smoke-filled back rooms. Without the support of numerous leaders in the state’s agricultural sector, it’s likely that the former coach would have disappeared as a vanity candidate months ago. Yet some institutional guardrails might have existed to prevent a candidate bereft of policy ideas from winning a seat in the world’s greatest deliberative body. In the absence of a powerful party, leaders fall […]
Stealing valor is not like taking your taser, much like renaming military bases happens normally. Jeff Sessions is desperate for “his” voters
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Is national politics now a fly stuck in amber? Trump kicked off his 2020 reelection campaign Tuesday, kvetching about emails, “complete exoneration, no obstruction” and all of his usual talking points. Thursday, Roy Moore announced that he was back in politics, set up to do a rematch with incumbent Democratic Senator Doug Jones. This looks […]
A Mason-Dixon poll released Tuesday indicates that Roy Moore is at the top of the GOP primary field, and that 50% of Alabama voters say that they would elect a Republican over incumbent Doug Jones in 2020. But Jones’s re-election chances will be affected by who he draws as his Republican challenger in 2020. Currently, Roy Moore – who Jones defeated in 2017 – is the top choice of GOP voters. Statewide, 27% of Republicans support Moore as the nominee, ahead of three current Congressmen – Mo Brooks at 18%, Bradley Byrne at 13% and Gary Palmer at 11%. Del Marsh (4%) and Tim James (2%) trail the field and a significant 25% are undecided. Moore could finish first in the GOP primary, but will likely have a much more difficult time winning a run-off. His current lead is largely a result of his name recognition advantage over others in the field, standing at about 20-points over Brooks, 40-points over Byrne and 50-points over Palmer. Those cushions will evaporate once the campaign begins in earnest. Moore also remains a divisive figure among Republican voters, with 34% having a favorable opinion of him but 29% holding an unfavorable view. All of the other potential candidates only have single-digit unfavorable name recognition. Additionally, all of the three Alabama congressmen that could face Moore in the run-off will not have the baggage of his 2017 run-off opponent — appointed Senator Luther Strange. Strange was hampered by the fact that he received his appointment to the Senate from unpopular former Governor Robert Bentley, who was later forced to resign from office. Here’s a thought to put in your pipe and smoke. Roy Moore might face Jeff Sessions, if Sessions would choose to run for his old seat. There’s no indication of that at this time, but it is a possibility to consider. If that would take place, Sessions would indisputably win a primary and it would be a large burden for Jones to overcome. Also consider this possibility: If for some reason we don’t regain the White House, it is crucial that we retake the Senate, because with a Democratic House and Senate, we could possibly get Trump impeached. I’m not being a doomsayer here, merely examining all the different possibilities and permutations of the 2020 field. The only thing I feel totally confident about saying right now, is that it’s going to be a bitch kitty of an election, unquestionably the most intensely fought of any election in our lifetimes.
Sometimes people in Washington get it plain wrong!
If conservatives support police killing citizens without justification, climate denial, fact denial, science denial, racist and misogynistic behavior, or a litany of other absurd points of view about numerous important issues, we call them out.