Friends, you have to buy. Enemies you can get for free Old German saying Politically, I choose my friends carefully. When it comes to politics, I take pride in my work, I don’t want to hear what makes me feel good, I want to hear what is. And as a result, there are three people I trust when it comes to the national mood, and polling in particular. There is Nate Silver at 538.com, there is Larry Sabato at the University of Virginia with his Crystal Ball, and there is Charlie Cook, who publishes the Cook Political Report. Those are my go to guys when shit gets real. Like his brothers, Sabato and Silver. Charlie Cook is neither Democratic nor Republican, the numbers are his religion, and he follows them faithfully. And he has the record to back up his predictions and reporting. And being a careful man, Cook avoids hyperbole and superlatives. Which makes what just appeared in The Cook Political Report even more shocking. Because, based on everything that Cook and his staff are looking at, they are coming to the conclusion that what we are looking at come November is nothing short of a Democratic Tsunami. And I mean that Charlie Cook is looking at everything! Cook isn’t just looking at national presidential polling, or battleground polling, he’s also looking at Senate polling, national mood polling, district polling, and most under reported and under appreciated, fund raising. But based on everything that Cook and his staff are looking at, they are coming slowly to the conclusion that what we’re looking at is a massacre of the Republicans at the hands of the Democrats in November. Full stop. This is why that’s important. Donald Trump is delusional, as are his followers, and nothing that Charlie Cook is going to say is going to sway him or his supporters ome iota, it’s all just FAKE NEWS! But one level below Trump, you have a whole shit load of incumbent GOP Senators that are all vulnerable , and they are all reality based. And as career politicians, they are pretty much immune to Trump’s bullshit. Unlike Glorious Bleater, these vulnerable Senators actually pay attention to reality based polling and numbers. And they’re all going the wrong way. In what alternate universe does a former state Democratic Chair poll 42-42 against GOP powerhouse Leningrad Lindsey Graham 4 months before an election in blood red South Carolina, and out fund raise him two quarters in a row? The thing that has to be most unsettling for these candidates is the fund raising numbers. One of the benefits of incumbency is having a built in donor base. The fact that these candidates are being brutalized in fundraising by local and national grassroots fund raising efforts has to worry them. And at long last, you can add in The Lincoln Project firing off ads at GOP Senators who have for so long enabled Trump’s lunacy. The handwriting is on the wall. Pedal to the metal, just do the work. The signs are there, and more and more people are starting to see it. Trump’s mental and political breakdown are going to lead to a brave new world. Keep the pressure up and watch the dominoes tumble. To know the future, look to the past.before the insanity of the 2020 election, relive the insanity […]
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Sometimes people in Washington get it plain wrong!
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