New polling from PPP shows that six vulnerable Republican members of the House such as Rep. Barbara Comstock of Virginia might seal their own fate if the unpopular GOP tax bill actually makes it to Donald Trump’s desk. Comstock is already losing a matchup against a generic Democratic opponent by seven percentage points, and PPP writes:
…her vote for the tax bill further hinders her likelihood to win re-election: 54 percent say they are less likely to vote for her because she supported this legislation.
In Comstock’s 10th Congressional District, for instance, a solid majority of voters oppose the House GOP tax plan by a 58-40 percent margin. A sense of urgency also heavily favors those in opposition to the bill, with 47 percent of voters saying they “strongly oppose” it while only 21 percent “strongly support” it.
That’s probably because Comstock’s voters have been paying a lot of attention to the bill and the more attention they pay to it, the less they like what they see.
Among the 60 percent of voters who have heard, seen, or read “a lot” about the plan, opposition to the tax proposal rises to 66 percent compared to just 34 percent who are supportive. The more voters are paying attention to the tax plan, the more they hate it.
The extra good news about that is that Democrats will have a lot of time to make sure constituents know what a terrible, cruel, and ill-advised bill Republicans rushed through Congress at lightning speed.
The Comstock survey and five others like it—conducted for NotOnePenny.org—don’t bode well for these Republican incumbents:
- Rep. Rod Blum (IA-01): Oppose, 50 percent; support, 44 percent (61 percent think the wealthiest benefit most, 33 percent think middle class does)
- Rep. Mike Coffman (CO-06): Oppose, 57 percent; support, 41 percent (67 percent think the wealthiest benefit most, 29 percent think middle class does)
- Rep. Bruce Poliquin (ME-02): Oppose, 53 percent; support, 44 percent (59 percent think wealthiest benefit most, 34 percent think middle class does)
- Rep. John Katko (NY-24): Oppose, 55 percent; support, 40 percent (61 percent think wealthiest benefit most, 31 percent think middle class does)
- Rep. Steve Knight (CA-25): Oppose, 52 percent; support, 41 percent (58 percent think wealthiest benefit most, 32 percent think middle class does)