It has begun! Our favorite attorney has released another Tweetstorm on what is happening and what we can expect to happen next. We can expect the first arrests Monday. This is HUGE. Now we know why the Trump cult has been FRANTIC this week with all the deflections and lies .
BREAKING NEWS: First Charges Filed in Trump-Russia Probe, At Least One Arrest Expected Soon https://t.co/mHh5AemQLy
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
2/ I’d predicted the first charges would be filed in November, so this timeframe is even more aggressive than the one I’d been working from.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
4/ Manafort (previously informed by Mueller’s agents he’d be indicted); small gap; Flynn (FARA and/or Making False Statements); big gap…
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
6/ For investigative reasons, you’d tend to issue every indictment you’re already prepared on all at onceâÂÂunless you expect someone to roll.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
8/ The moment charges are filed, you can begin exerting real pressure on witnesses, through their attorneys, to roll on the big fishâÂÂTrump.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
10/ The probe stage I predicted would begin in November is starting now. Mueller is now at risk of having Trump try to fire him at any time.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
13/ So if the indictment is Trump’s campaign manager, this “early” indictment suggests they will be pressing him to help them get the POTUS.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
14/ I say that because if it’s a random fish, the large target could be Manafort; if the fish is Manafort, the large target is likely Trump.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
16/ (I should add: in the “likelihood ranking” I gave earlier, SessionsâÂÂperjuryâÂÂranks after Don. Page falls in the “other person” category.)
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
20/ If it’s Obstruction, this is a *somewhat* fast indictment, as those cases can be hard to proveâÂÂthough *not* as hard as some pundits say.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
22/ You might also do it not to taint other witnesses, provoke a witness to flee or show your hand in terms of the facts you’ve accumulated.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
24/ And if somehow the feds bring the defendant in quietly and secretly, it seems clear we’ll learn the defendant’s identity in short order.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
PS/ I agree with any who note this leak is bad. I also think this is the biggest criminal case of our lifetimesâÂÂso “no leaks” is impossible.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017
PS4/ Trump critics will be hoping the indictment is of PageâÂÂas that could only mean an indictment *directly* related to a Russia conspiracy.
â Seth Abramson (@SethAbramson) October 28, 2017