FiveThirtyEight predicts a contested convention, especially if there are no surprises on super-Tuesday. The less-mentioned fear is a repeat of 2016 where Biden wins because of superdelegates on the second ballot and disaffected dems take their ball and stay home.
Just a preview posted so the Tuesday results can be seen in context, sans Buttigieg.
Here’s Emerson and RCP for contrast to 538 in California.
(Poll Conducted Feb 28- March 1) pic.twitter.com/6LZsCOgwcl
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) March 2, 2020
The Russian problem is a feature (not a bug) as the 2020 campaign continues
Russian agitation propaganda and Putin puppet Trump are giving an all-out effort backing Bernie Sanders against Joe Biden.
They know that if Sanders is the Dem nominee Trump will win. If Biden? Trump regime officials go to jail and appeasement of #RussiaInvadedUkraine ends.
— Michael MacKay (@mhmck) March 2, 2020
Public Enemy announced they are permanently “moving forward” without Flavor Flav, firing one of hip-hop’s most memorable hypemen after more than 35 years. The abrupt dismissal comes just two days after the rapper sent a cease-and-desist letter to Bernie Sanders over Chuck D’s concert at the campaign’s Los Angeles rally Sunday.
“Public Enemy and Public Enemy Radio will be moving forward without Flavor Flav,” the hip-hop legends said in a brief statement Sunday. “We thank him for his years of service and wish him well.”
All that talk about Sanders’s grass-roots ground game in South Carolina did not seem to materialize in actual delegates (especially youth and new voters), so perhaps there are grains of salt or Bernie Sanders isn’t Public Enemy’s Yoko Ono.
While some of the candidates were struggling to field staff for even a handful of offices, Sanders, by year’s end, had more than 20 offices and over 100 full-time paid staffers dotted around California. Those offices also had thousands of volunteers putting in time to canvass, phone bank, and so on. Over the past year, explains Anna Bahr, the LA-based communications director for the campaign, Sanders’s team had worked to establish a long-term presence not only in the big coastal cities but in small towns and communities in the Central Valley, the Inland Empire, and other poorer, less media-visible parts of the state.
By year’s end, it was clear that Sanders’s grass roots presence in the state was paying off. Polling showed that he and Biden were now vying for front-runner status. By late January, as Biden’s support began to crater, and as Warren’s candidacy began to sputter after a strong autumn, one poll after another showed Sanders carving out a significant lead. Today, those same polls show Sanders with roughly double the support of Biden. If the Vermont senator maintains that lead over the next week and if his rivals split the vote and mostly fail to reach 15 percent of the statewide vote, he will likely come away with a large majority of California’s more than 400 delegates.
I’m thinking of attaching something on the COVID19 crisis below the fold in every diary, just because Steve Bannon thinks it’s Trump’s “Churchill moment”.
The Trumpvirus is screwing up everything. Trumpviral lying about the economy:
The coronavirus was likely spreading for WEEKS in Washington State but we didn't know because fewer than 500 people in the United States have been tested.
The WHO had tests available – it sent tests to 50 countries – but the Trump administration didn't request them.
— Judd Legum (@JuddLegum) March 2, 2020
Trump's idea for coronovirus "containment": Don't test people then you can claim much lower numbers of people affected by coronavirus and limit the damage to the stock market. https://t.co/K9WxsoheNb
— Cheri Jacobus (@CheriJacobus) March 2, 2020
For those wondering: yes. Larry Kudlow’s comments on how Trump’s handling of Coronavirus would help his reelection did violate the Hatch Act. https://t.co/88b1tUVEo9
— Citizens for Ethics (@CREWcrew) March 1, 2020
A brutal downward economic revision by Goldman Sachs https://t.co/OgtfFKywhI
— James Pethokoukis (@JimPethokoukis) March 2, 2020
Good grief. U.S. Treasury 10-year yields dropped to 1.04% in early Asian trading. No reversal as yet. I suppose the next question is whether people have the appetite to take the 10-year yield below 1%. pic.twitter.com/2E190TkEZX
— John Authers (@johnauthers) March 2, 2020
How does the coronavirus compare with the flu? Here’s a close look at the differences. https://t.co/Rmj3L7teJj
— The New York Times (@nytimes) March 2, 2020
— Al Jazeera News (@AJENews) March 2, 2020