This is eye-opening, encouraging, energizing even. But Trump’s defeat is not a fait accompli — not by a long shot. So let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves. After all, when Donald Trump first announced he was running for president, I thought Carrot Top had a better chance. (Oh, if only Carrot Top were president. A prop-comedy State of the Union would be enormously refreshing at this point. One can dream, eh?)
Early days yet, but the strong opposition to Trump's re-elect remains historically high. pic.twitter.com/J7mEhGQjZ6
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) May 22, 2019
Even with the absurd calumnies leveled at Barack Obama almost daily (tan suit, anyone?), the percentage of voters who were dead set against voting for him was 16 points lower than Trump’s two years and four months into their presidencies. George H.W. Bush is something of an outlier, no doubt thanks to his sky-high approval ratings following the completion of Desert Storm. Everyone else hovers in the 30 to 40 percent range, and that likely reflects the opinions of party stalwarts who would never vote for the other guy.
Trump, meanwhile, remains stuck at an unheard of 54 percent.
Unfortunately, Trump’s supporters and detractors are not spread evenly throughout the republic. If they were, I wouldn’t lose any sleep at night.
But, hey, this is a great start. And this is with a good economy. If the economy falters, Trump might as well do his rallies in his bathrobe with a pair of Kleenex boxes on his feet. He won’t have a chance no matter how much he blusters.