As you know, I’ve been generally positive of the way that the DNC has run the primary debate process for 2020, but I will pick one bone with them. They really should have given a debate to FOX to sponsor. Why? Because FOX would never in a million years have been as blatant in their attempt to torpedo these two debates as CNN has been, they would have been tarred and feathered for their partisanship. I wrote earlier today that I sincerely hoped that the candidates in tonight’s debate had watched last night’s debate, and wised up to the CNN moderators plot to pit them against each other. Apparently CNN factored that possibility in, and left them no option. Just to make sure that they got the demolition derby they were counting on, they went even further in their quest for the perfect “gotcha” question. In what sane world does a debate moderator begin a round of questioning by stating, “Candidate A said something really nasty about your *blank* plan. How do you respond to Candidate A’s statement?” As I type this, there is still another 35 minutes of debate left, and while I have it on in the background, I ain’t missing a thing. Not only is CNN trying to pit the top tier candidates against each other, they’re inviting the “Who?!?” candidate to pile on and create more mayhem. CNN should be ashamed of itself. In the first half an hour, the top tier candidates, especially Biden and Harris, tried to keep their paws out of the trap. Especially in the healthcare question, Biden responded to Harris solely with valid information from her plan, and her responses dealt with gaps in Biden’s plan. But that wasn’t enough of a cage match for CNN, so they invited also-rans to pile on, and then pitted one opponent against the other on that. And the melee was on. Here are just some random observations on night two, in no particular order. Biden was much better, but not his best. Biden stayed as much above the fray as he could, but engaged effectively. He also looked more at home on stage, even occasionally passing a light moment with Cory Booker on his left. But he did go down the rabbit hole with Booker on the crime bill and stop-and-frisk in Newark, and forced busing with Harris, which was a mistake, he didn’t need to go there. But nothing is going to happen to his position as front runner coming out of this debate, and he benefited from everybody on the stage dumping on Sanders and Warren in absentia. Andy Yang is a really neat, down to earth guy, and I’d love to have a beer with him, but not in the Oval Office. Bill DeBlasio is just another big mouth, New York dick. And you know how big of a dick he is when even other New Yorkers don’t want him running for President, so that the rest of the country realizes how big of a dick he is. Kamala Harris stumbled, and badly. She was in hog heaven last month, setting the trap, and watching Joe Biden twist in the wind on segregationist senators, and forced busing. But she really, really didn’t like being on the hook herself. Not only did Biden legitimately hit her on her record […]
Forewarned is forearmed 14th century Latin proverb So, you thought that with the Epstein moon once again circling Alpha Trumpori 1, we had finally reached the depths of the depravity of the Trump administration? Well, as Bachman-Turner-Overdrive used to warble, “B-b-b-baby, you just ain’t seen n-n-n-nuttin’ yet.” Although we are more than halfway through the first, and please Dios, only Trump term, the worst is yet to come. There are several reason why I say this, and while none of them are reassuring, they are all logical, and fit in with facts as we already know them. For starters, Trump is nothing if not predictable. Since the day he slowly farted his way through Gucci silk down that golden escalator in Trump Tower, to the adoring applause of paid “supporters, Trump’s pitch has been carefully crafted to be music only to the ears of the misbegotten souls who find his dreck palatable. He speaks to a forgotten, or unattended group of the downtrodden, chock-a-block replete with grievance, fear, and hatred. This is why Trump held so many rallies during the campaign, and holds so many now. He is constantly on the lookout for new, more sensational crimes and grievances to lay before his supporters. He uses these rallies not only because his insecurity requires constant ego gratification, but also as a sounding board for something new to rile up his llama brained followers. If he trots something out at a rally, and it stirs up the base, he’ll use it again and again. If it falls flat, he’ll try another one the next time. His followers tend to have the attention span of newborn puppies, so constant stimulation and distraction are required. Since his miraculous electoral college victory, Trump has stunned political historians, analysts, and talking heads for being the first President in history who, upon winning, did not pivot to the middle to increase his base to better his chances for reelection. Instead, Trump has relentlessly pivoted even further in the direction of his howling mob, and away from the mainstream. The problem with a pack of rabid dogs is that they require a steady supply of fresh meat. The impending ICE raids are just the opening salvo of a descending stairway of cruelty, especially to “the others.” Second. Trump is unchained. This occurred two ways. First, say what you want about political carp like Reince Priebus, John Kelly, Rex Tillerson, and the rest. Whatever their sins, they were a restraining influence on Trump’s worst excesses. But by a combination of attrition, as well as Machiavellian back stabbing, all of those restraining influences have been removed,replaced by toadying sycophants whose Tantric chant is “Let Trump be Trump,” turning him over to the tender mercies of racist Rasputin’s like Stephen Miller. Trump is now free to indulge his most base whims. Last November completed the transformation. In the 2018 midterms, the GOP lost the House, but that was actually a boon for Trump. Trump didn’t lose many Trumpaholics in safe red districts. What Trump lost were more traditional conservatives like Char;ie Dent, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, and Carlos Curbelo, House members who didn’t even hold steerage class tickets on the SS Trumptanic. But what they did represent were a block of about 30-40 more traditional Republicans, who properly outraged, could raise their voices in […]
*Sigh* No, I am not about to start prognosticating on the basis of some recently released poll or other, so don’t you roll your eyes at me! But it’s kind of a fact of political life, you can’t have an election, or even a campaign, without polling. Although imperfect, polling is the most effective way we have of obtaining a “snapshot in time” of how the body politic feels about a particular issue, candidate, or match up. And of course, a poll is only as accurate as its methodology. Right now, almost all polling being conducted is in the 2020 Democratic primaries, which only makes sense considering, proclamations from the ghost of William Weld notwithstanding, Trump is running unopposed. When looking at these polls, people love to keep preaching from the mount that “it’s early yet.” And indeed it is, but not that early, Most candidates have been running around like nuts now for the last 5-6 months, making speeches, shaking hands, snarfing local delicacies, and polling at 0-1% is not a positive sign. True, the Vegas Golden Knights came within 3 games of winning a Stanley Cup in their first year, but the smart money wasn’t on them. But as much as the polling is centered on the Democratic primaries, we are seeing some national polling, as well as some early “battleground state” polling of head-to-head match ups between Trump and the “top tier” Democratic candidates. And it is that context that I want to point out something that I think a lot of people are missing, and it really should be considered. A new poll just showed all 4 top tier Democratic candidates beating His Lowness nationally. I don’t have it handy, but I believe the numbers were something like Biden 52-43, Sanders 51-44, Warren 48-43, and Harris 45-44. Yes, I know that it’s freakin’ early yet, but none of these are good news for Trump, if for no better reason than Trump is the most purely “set in stone” opinion President in modern history in terms of his popularity, whereas most of the Democratic candidates have “room to grow” with people who don’t know them that well yet. There is plenty of time for voters to change their minds and warm to Elizabeth Warren, or Kamala Harris, but very few people are going to change their opinion of Donald Juan Trump. Now, here’s the part that nobody is thinking about, and personally, I think it’s very enlightening. In the latest poll I just saw, a NBC News-WSJ poll, Je Biden was leading the pack at 26%, Warren was at 19%, and Harris and Sanders were tied at 13%. Most recent polls have been consistent with this one, with individual candidates fluctuating by 2-3%. But here’s the McGuffin. Think about it for a minute, right now Joe Biden leads the Democratic pack with only a quarter of the Democratic primary voters backing him, and yet 52% of national voters have him cleaning Trump’s clock! Bernie Sanders actually cracks a smile on a day when he can hit 15%, and yet 51% of American voters have him kicking Trump’s ass! None of the top tier Democratic candidates have anything even approaching a lock on the nomination yet, but whoever one actually reaches the promised land already has a plurality, if not a majority of the […]
The rotten apple doesn’t fall far from the rotten tree, to quote Jay Inslee, with regard to this incident. Donald Trump Jr. saw the following tweet on June 27. Kamala Harris is “not” an American Black. She is half Indian and half Jamaican. I’m so sick of people robbing American Blacks (like myself) of our […]
Life is nothing more than a script revision to Donald Trump. It’s no secret that he lacks values and ideals and is swayed by the last person he talks to on a subject on any given day. Today’s plot twist in the sick daytime soap that you and I call politics, is to rekindle the ill-fated bromance of Trump and Steve Bannon. Yes, it may bloom anew, due to an interview Bannon gave on CNBC, saying how the Democrats had no chance of beating Donald Trump, because of his terrific policies on China and Joe Biden and Kamala Harris’ bad ones. This is the song that Trump longs to hear, and Bannon was singing it today. You may recall that back in the day, Steve Bannon had an turbulent relationship with Javanka, never a recipe for longevity, but it was his alleged contribution to Michael Wolff’s best seller that gave Javanka the ammunition they needed to ax him. Trump turned, Bannon was no more, and the hashtag “Sloppy Steve” was born. You mean, this guy–Sloppy Steve? Hahahaha–you're pathetic. pic.twitter.com/83frLNEKz4 — Liz (@LizNBntown) August 2, 2019 White House was “bad,” like really “bad karma.” When Steve Bannon’s spiritual sensitivity is triggered, you know that the atmosphere is PURE EVIL. /end — Tara ❤️🇺🇸🦅 (@TaraHenderson31) August 2, 2019 Whether he cried and begged for his job, notwithstanding, now he’s the man of the hour. Click the button on the tweet above and listen to 2:19 seconds of pure hilarity. Plot spoiler: Michael Bloomberg and Hillary Clinton are going to enter the presidential race in the fall. Oh.My.God. Now, what may be going on here, as incredible as it seems, is that Bannon may have decided that he can catch lightning in a bottle twice, and he may be sucking up to become part of the Trump reelection campaign — which would be amusing, since Jared is now heading that up. But then Donald Jr. wanted to be in charge and he hates his brother-in-law and so does Bannon and so Donald Jr. and Bannon could join forces and….you see where the story arc is going. So, back for a return engagement, after a time in the wilderness, cometh Steve Bannon, with his barroom tan and his Bigfoot demeanor. My take on it? God, I hope so. We can use the comic relief. And I can’t wait to see how he overcomes some of his great one liners like, “Trump will fail when people realize he’s just another scumbag.” That should be epic.
If you missed seeing footage of the latest Ku Klux Klan Trump rally in North Carolina Wednesday, Donald Trump ginned up the crowd by dissing Ilhan Omar. When they started chanting, “Send her back!” he stood there like Mussolini and basked in the hate vibe. Today, however, he’s claiming that it didn’t happen that way. Trump, asked in the Oval why he didn't stop his supporters from chanting 'send her back', says: "I think I did. I started speaking very quickly." Here's the video: Trump let the chant go on for about 13 seconds. He never told the crowd to stop. pic.twitter.com/CL1Z70vvdZ — Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) July 18, 2019 Trump told CNN that he didn’t approve of the behavior of the crowd. Sure could have fooled us. REPORTER: Are you concerned with your supporters chanting “Send her back” about Congresswoman Omar, that it puts her in danger? TRUMP: I have tremendous support. I wasn’t happy with that message they gave last night. That was a packed arena. … I think we have far more support than they do and we have far more energy than they do and we’re going to have a very interesting election. But I was not happy when I heard that chant.” REPORTER: Why did they do it? TRUMP: You would have to ask them. What I would suggest, I was not happy with it, but what I would suggest, you go there, go to North Carolina, and you ask the people why did they say that. But that’s what they said. REPORTER: You’ll stop them if they try to do it again? TRUMP: I didn’t like that they did it and I started speaking very quickly. Excuse me. Really? If you would have heard, there was a tremendous amount of noise and action and everything else. I started very quickly. And I think you know that. Maybe you’re giving me too much credit. No, we’re giving you all the credit, because that’s what you deserve. You put together the 2019 equivalent of a KKK rally. RawStory: During a discussion about the president’s lie that he tried to stop his supporters chanting “send her back,” Zerlina Maxwell said it reminded her of the things seen during the civil rights movement in the 1950s and 60s. “When I see that rally, that looks like a Klan rally to me,” she said. “That looks like a Klan rally in 2019.” Mussolini pose. He basked in it and now he’ll throw his supporters under the bus to deflect blame. pic.twitter.com/vXyCtulI9b — Ken Murphy (@kennethmurphy) July 18, 2019 The people did it. Trump was only leading the rally, asking for their votes. How could he possibly be held accountable for anything? Look for this line of “reasoning” to be Trump’s out as the countdown to November 3, 2020 approaches.
August 14 was the worst day of the year for the stock market. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 800 points, or 3% and that makes for a net loss of almost 7% in the past three weeks. Additionally, the inverted yield curve has been flashing for weeks, and it has been a reliable predictor of impending recessions for the past 50 years. The last time it manifested was in 2007, in the ramp up to the 2008 housing bubble bursting. The inverted yield curve occurs when longer-term bonds, which offer higher rates of return, are passed over in favor of shorter-term bonds. The yield curve inverts when yields on the shorter-term debt exceeds those on longer maturity debt. It is a classic sign that people don’t trust their government. Washington Post: This phenomenon, which suggests investor faith in the economy is faltering, has preceded every recession in the past 50 years. “The stars are aligned across the curve that the economy is headed for a big fall,” said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at MUFG Union Bank. “The yield curves are all crying timber that a recession is almost a reality, and investors are tripping over themselves to get out of the way.” Now here’s Donald Trump’s take on the matter. ..Spread is way too much as other countries say THANK YOU to clueless Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve. Germany, and many others, are playing the game! CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE! We should easily be reaping big Rewards & Gains, but the Fed is holding us back. We will Win! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 14, 2019 Yeah, that “crazy inverted yield curve!” What a silly thing that is. If only Jerome Powell would get his act together, everything would be simply dandy. Meanwhile, the rats are running down the ropes, because they know what’s coming. Several White House officials have become concerned that the economy is weakening faster than expected, but they are not working on proactive plans to change its course. The Treasury Department has had an exodus of senior advisers in recent months, and the White House just announced a replacement for its chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers…. The Twitter posts reflected a growing anxiety within the White House about problems in the economy, which many advisers believe will determine whether the president wins reelection. Just a few hours earlier, Trump offered a contradictory assessment, saying the inverted yield curve was a good sign because there was “Tremendous amounts of money pouring into the United States. People want safety!” ,,,the escalating trade war between Trump and Chinese leaders has stopped many businesses from investing. And there are signs that the large tariffs he has placed on many Chinese imports is costing U.S. businesses and consumers billions of dollars. “The big concern is around trade,” said Dan Ivascyn, group chief investment officer at Pimco. “The longer we remain in limbo, the more damage to the global economy.” Small wonder #TrumpRecession is trending on Twitter. On Twitter, Wajahat Ali, a contributing op-ed writer for the New York Times, rattled off several of Trump’s failed promises that preceded fears of another crash. “Trump promised to eliminate the debt in four years; he increased it,” Ali tweeted. “He promised to win the easy trade war with China; he […]
It’s a moment tailor made for Cecil B DeMille. Charlton Heston, clad in a snowy white robe, and holding a long woof staff, climbs a dais, raises his arms on high, and spreads the sea of turmoil currently surrounding the NRA, leading the organization to the promised land. Ain’t happening Dooley. Heston is as dead […]
Et tu Brute, et tu? Julius Caesar Well, this is shaping up to be a whole lot more interesting than I thought it was going to be. My original vision of the rest of 2019 and pretty much all of 2020 was that the Democrats would fumble around into next March or April, like the Chess Club trying to elect a new team captain, and then we could all put our hazmat suits on for a full body immersion into the 2020 general election toxic sludge extravaganza. But what I see forming on the horizon looks like it will be tons more fun! I have previously written that whether it was on November 4th of 2020, or in the summer of 2023, the next time the presidential primary season rolls around, the Republican party was going to have to start coming to terms with what the party was going to look like after the reign of Emperor Numbus Nuttus. Bill Maher’s paranoid fears notwithstanding, at 12:01 on either January 20, 2021, or January 20, 2025, the Secret Service will take Donald Trump by the elbows and perp walk him out to Marine One, so that the cleaning crew can hose the place down with Clorox before the new arrival checks in. But it’s starting to look like we’re not going to have to wait that long, and as my wife Teri likes to say, “Dis gwan be some fun, choo bet!” Look what’s happening right now in the GOP. Former Massachusetts governor William Weld is running a proxy primary campaign against Trump for the nomination by going on MSNBC and CNN all the time. Omarosa is testing the waters to see if there’s any appetite for the sale of slightly used audio tapes. Nikki Haley is coyly inflating her ego by tweeting that of course she doesn’t want to replace Mike Pence, not with 2024 so close you can almost smell it. Mark Sanford needs to get back into office again, so he can meet women on “fact finding missions” to foreign countries. Joe Walsh is tired of getting screamed at by Trump supporters on the radio, and figures he may as well check out some 5 star hotels and restaurants on supporters money and get screamed at there instead. And “The Mooch” wants to set up a Super PAC to try and bury His Lowness in “key battleground states.” The Democrats have barely started waling away on Trump, and there’s a whole rugby scrum of Republicans that want to pile on. Remarkably, what is left of the “mainstream” Republican party has decided not to wait at least another year to see if The $1 Store Caligula leaves them anything but smoking rubble, they’ve decided individually to launch a preemptive strike to save what’s left of their clubhouse.And what a motley crew this band id disaffected ruffians are. There is something to like for everybody in the GOP with this band of resisters, just as long as you have low moral standards. With Weld and Sanford, you have what I like to call “Jurassic GOP,” you know, your grandfathers GOP. With Haley, you have the face of what was called the “New Republican party” on the blackboard. With Walsh, you have the Tea Party 2.0 version of stuff and nonsense, and with […]
Maybe it’s just me, but this seems to be getting just a wee ridiculous. We’re still 6 1/2 months from the first primary votes being cast, as everybody likes to tell me whenever I talk about a poll, “It’s early yet!”, and already the recriminations are flying around. In q statement to Politico, Sanders campaign manager Faiz Shakir dumped a bucket of shit on the heads of the very people the campaign needs for its oxygen, the media; “This isn’t intended to be a sweeping generalization of all journalists,” he told POLITICO, “but there are a healthy number who just find Bernie annoying, discount his seriousness, and wish his supporters and movement would just go away.” OK, chis is cheap, petty, and obnoxious for a number of reasons. For starters, while Shakir disavows making it a “blanket statement,” he goes on to infer that it’s a “healthy number,” clearly indicating he believes it’s a majority of reporters. Second, no responsible journalist would ever allow any personal feelings to seep in and color the way that they cover any candidate. And third, as long as the reporters keeps their feelings to themselves, and out of their reporting, the claim is specious and inconsequential in the first place. This is not the first time that Bernie Sanders and his campaign have jousted with the press. The article points out that in 2016, Sanders complained that the media largely ignored him especially in the early stages of the campaign, ignoring the fact that the media regularly touted his prolific small donor contribution efforts. Worse yet, this is not the first time Sanders has voiced public complaints this early in the campaign. Several weeks ago, when he fell further behind Biden after his campaign announcement, and as Elizabeth Warren started to climb in the polls, Sanders groused that the other candidates were holding him back by “stealing his thunder,” in pushing the same programs and ideas that he pioneered in 2016. This is like Bill Walsh complaining that other NFL teams snaffled his “West coast offense.” The real problem here is that the optics are absolutely terrible. We’ve only had one debate, only 12% of voters have fixed on a single candidate, which means that nobody is out of the game, no votes have been cast, and yet the Sanders campaign is throwing shine all over the place. This tends to lead to two conclusions, both of them negative. Either Sanders is blaming other people for his performance and current standing in the polls, or worse yet, he’s starting to pick scapegoats to blame if his campaign fails. Neither one should be an image the campaign wants to portray, especially this early in the campaign. Look, full disclosure, I’m not a Bernie supporter, but I’m not a Bernie hater either. I am not going to “back” any one particular candidate before the completion of the second debates at the earliest. And if it turns out that Bernie is the candidate, I will certainly vote for him. Anybody who follows politics knows that different candidates often have similar, or nearly identical solutions for major issues. Sanders should be proud that his once “radical” ideas are now a part of the mainstream conversations in the campaign. But rather than blaming everybody else for his current showing, I would […]