Wednesday, July 8, 2020
Guardian News / YouTube Five times Donald Trump refused to...

The “Likability” Issue

Yesterday. All my troubles seemed so far away. Now I need a place to hide away   The Beatles   Yesterday It’s pure music to my ears. Over the last 7-10 days I’ve been hearing it more and more on both MSNBC as well as CNN, and unlike Don McLean’s American Pie, I never feel like changing the station when it comes on.   Both the White House, but especially the campaign are confused and tres irritated, because they can’t seem to formulate a coherent message to run on. They wanted to run on the economy, but even with the partial recovery of the stock market, they can no longer ride that horse over the finish line. Then they tried to pass the coronavirus off as some minor irritant that would one day magically disappear, but that isn’t working out either. And in that Vacuum, Trump is stepping in with even more virulent racism and nativism to fill the void, in direct contradiction of the national mood of the moment. The real reason for their stumbling and fumbling comes from the fact that after all of this time, they have yet to be able to come up with a handle for Joe Biden. Their original plan was to paint Biden as as corrupt as Hillary Clinton. But thanks to his inept stupidity, Trump got caught out in trying to extort the Ukraine into digging up existent or non existent dirt in such a public way, and the notion so thoroughly debunked, that it had to be pulled off of the table. Then they tried to paint Biden as old, feeble, and mentally unfit for the job. But seniors only had to compare the two side by side, and now Trump is losing the senior vote. They are reduced to hammering Biden on China, which isn’t resonating. The problem is that nobody really likes Donald Trump. How can you? The man is a pig on two legs. Even Trump’s supporters don’t really like him. That Trump’s supporters love about Trump is his persona. They love Trump because he says, and actually does the kinds of things that they’d love to say and do themselves, if only they didn’t have bosses and spouses to answer to. They live vicariously through Trump’s antics. 2016 was tailor made for Trump. Because a whole lot of people really didn’t like his opponent either, Hillary Clinton. Just think of your own office politics. It’s always easier to be acceptable when slamming the boss nobody likes than the one that buys pizza for the office. Trump didn’t have to make himself more popular, he just had to make Clinton less popular. And for a lifelong sexist, misogynist, and serial liar, and considering his base, it was doable. That won’t work in 2020 because too many people just flat out like Joe Biden. Is Biden the answer to every problem? Of course not. But over a 40 year history in politics, Biden has proven by consistency to be a decent, friendly, approachable, moral man of faith and compassion, and more than educated enough to handle the cascade of issues that beset a President. In other words, everything Trump isn’t. In the primaries, the #1 word that was on the lips of every pundit and Democratic primary voter was Elect-ability. Who could actually beat Trump in a long, grueling, negative campaign. But as the campaign has ground on, it turns out that likability has […]

National Popular Vote Compact Gains Speed After Supreme Court Decision

The Supreme Court voted unanimously Monday that Electoral College electors cannot go rogue, but must cast their ballot in accordance with the rules of their state. In 2016, a few did go rogue, in Colorado and Washington state, when they refused to vote for Hillary Clinton, the popular vote winner in those states, and voted for a write-in candidate. This SCOTUS vote is seen as favorable to the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. This is an agreement among fifteen states, and the District of Columbia — so far — to award all of their electoral votes to whichever presidential candidate wins the overall popular vote in the 50 states. Enough states to represent 270 electoral votes are needed for the compact to have legal force, and even then there will probably be legal challenges such as the one that was heard by the Supreme Court today. This was a glass half full decision. The Electoral College has not been abolished but on the other hand, some constitutional ambiguity has been resolved and the NPVIC has arguably benefited, because electors cannot go rogue now. NBC News: The November general election is not actually a direct vote for the presidential candidates. Voters instead choose a slate of electors appointed in their states by the political parties. Those electors meet in December to cast their ballots, which are counted during a joint session of Congress in January. The court’s opinion said presidential electors must act as their states require, which in most of the nation means voting for the candidate who won the popular vote in their states. In Maine and Nebraska, presidential electors are guided by the votes of congressional districts. If the court had ruled the other way, then individual electors who decided to vote as they wished in a close race could potentially have the power decide who wins. […] Harvard Law professor Larry Lessig, who advocates Electoral College reform, told the court that nothing in the Constitution gives states any authority to restrict how an elector can vote, because they act in a federal role when meeting as the Electoral College. […] Lessig said he hoped the controversy would encourage more states to adopt a system in which they would assign all of their electors to the candidate who wins the nationwide popular vote for president. This is some progress. We take what we get on any given day, any step forward is welcome. This story just broke, so it will be updated, when more is determined about the impact of the court’s opinion. What we know about the Electoral College is that it is a broken system. The Founding Fathers put it in place as a fail safe system, to prevent precisely the kind of abnormality that took place in the 2016 election. It utterly failed. So now it needs to be revamped, and as the Harvard professor said, at least now there is more clarity.

Trump’s Vision For 2020 Is Straight Outta Fox News, Tucker Carlson To Be Precise

Poor Donald Trump. All he ever wanted to do was be president. He sought the title, not the actual job. He wants the good stuff, the cheers and the crowds, being photographed with celebrities, cameras and flashbulbs and glory. And of course it’s cool to have a bullet proof limo and a luxurious bunker, because you never know, and to be able to send Marine 1 out for pizza. But the job beyond that sucks. You know it, and I know it, and he knows that we know it. Donald hates the gig but Vladimir says he can’t quit, or else. And if that isn’t bad enough, the rest of the GOP won’t stop bugging him. Lindsey didn’t talk about anything else on the golf course. He kept demanding that Donald actually get up in front of people and say something about the state of the country and what he intends to do about it, because — well, because that’s what a president does. So, okay, fine, Donald will read off the teleprompter, and he’s doing it for you, you guys, Lindsey, Mitch, all of youse. And since there is no plan and never has been one for this administration other than Fox News talking points, well by golly, that’s what the GOP platform for 2020 is going to be. Plain and simple. Roger Ailes was just given his own forge and bellows in Hell, because his vision has manifested, and Satan is mightily pleased. Trump’s Mt. Rushmore address was pure Tucker Carlson talking points, with a light rewrite by Stephen Miller and that isn’t coincidental. Where Trump and Fox News are concerned, the past is prologue, no matter how hard he might rage tweet at them. Trump and Fox News are symbiotically joined at the hip and will remain so until surgically separated by the electorate, at which time Trump will probably slink off to OANN and Fox will regroup. But until then, here’s what it was July 3, and this is what it’s going to be until November 3. Axios: Trump vs. Carlson: Below are grabs from Carlson monologues over the past month, followed by quotes from Trump’s July 3 speech. Carlson: “For more than a month, mobs of violent crazy people have roamed this country, terrorizing citizens and destroying things.” Trump: “Angry mobs are trying to tear down statues of our Founders, deface our most sacred memorials, and unleash a wave of violent crime in our cities.” Carlson: “The education cartel, enforced on your children, enforces their demands.” Trump: “In our schools, our newsrooms, even our corporate boardrooms, there is a new far-left fascism that demands absolute allegiance.” Carlson: “Few people ever could have imagined that Teddy Roosevelt would be canceled. Roosevelt was the most popular president in American history.” Trump: “One of their political weapons is ‘Cancel Culture.'” And in a separate part of the speech, “Theodore Roosevelt exemplified the unbridled confidence of our national culture and identity. … The American people will never relinquish the bold, beautiful, and untamed spirit of Theodore Roosevelt.” Carlson: “For weeks we’ve asked, ‘Who will stand up for this country?’ And the answer we’re learning is Americans. Americans will. It’s up to them. Small groups of citizens are beginning to come forward to defend their laws, defend their history and their culture.” Trump: “They think the American people are weak and soft and […]

The Gift That Keeps On Giving. Forever?

Oops, I did it again   Brittney Spears Because he will never take the safe way, never admit to an error, never think before he speaks, never think anything through before he acts, and most of all because he will never shut up!, both myself as well as a whole lot of other people like to refer to El Pendejo Presidente as The gift that keeps on giving. But according to one senior GOP strategist, we may not even know the half of it yet. A little earlier this evening, Kasie Hunt had veteran GOP strategists Matt Gorman and Michael Steele on Kasie DC. Kasie had run the chat through the current map, polling, and apparent difficulties facing GOP Senators up for reelection this year with Trump on the ballot. Then she moved on to the fact that Trump is already laying the groundwork for claiming in case he loses, and the possible embarrassment to the GOP if he refuses to concede. And that’s when Matt Gorman dropped a neutron bomb onto the set. He told Kasie something like, Kasie, that doesn’t really bother me. Whether he admits defeat and leaves, or whether he has to be escorted onto Marine 1 by the Secret Service on January 20th, either way he is not going to go quietly into that good night. For me the real fun begins on January 21st, when we see what Trump does next. Then he went into detail, and those details were cogent, intelligent, well thought out, and have to scare the living shit out of the GOP. His point was that Trump is an insecure national media whore, and even if he loses in November, will consider himself some sort of GOP elder statesman, or some such shit. Trump has already explored the option of starting up his own television network, and may in fact make that his platform. Or he could get his own show on FUX News, or at least be a frequent contributor. Or he could land at the Sinclair network. But wherever he lands, he will continue to tweet like 1000 bastard maniacs, and those tweets will be full of grievance. Which brings us to 2022. Trump will have two years to fester, and he’ll be loaded for bear. Through tweets, and from whatever other platforms he’s using, he will be vicious in tearing into GOP Governors, Senators, and any surviving House members whom he feels were not sufficiently loyal to him. Two years after his demise, GOP candidates may be faced with the unpalatable choice of having to swear fealty to a deposed madman, just to gain access to his base. And if he’s still alive and kicking in 2024, what’s to say that Trump won’t at least threaten, if not follow through and run for his second term on the GOP ticket? This is truly an apocalyptic scenario for The Lincoln Project, as well as the remnants of the traditional GOP that still exist out there. How do you begin to re-brand, retool, and rebuild when the disaster you’re trying to recover from is still plowing through the house like an 800 lb gorilla? It’s kind of hard to recover from cancer surgery when the damn doctor didn’t get the cancer out in the first place. Also senseless. The real tipping point in this possible crisis will be […]

When Simple And Safe Are Also Smart

The present is the living sum-total of the whole past   Thomas Carlyle When the Oval Office is about to become vacant, the election for a new President is commonly referred to as a change election. Normally, the country has had 8 years of the presidential administration of one party, and the election boils down to whether the people want more of the same, or a change. This was the case in 2016, when an actual minority if inattentive fools forced their opinion on the rest of the country. But normally, when a President is running for his second term, that election is almost always referred to as a referendum election on the performance of the current sitting president. The opposition candidate takes every pot shot that presents itself at the performance of the incumbent, who instead points to his many accomplishments, and lays out a vision for the next four years. God knows that is the kind of election Trump would like 2020 to be. That’s why he stumbles around, standing behind a podium in 2/3 empty buildings, tossing out whimsical and often nonsensical bullshit disguised as the positive accomplishments of himself and his band of flying monkeys. But consider this. Two weeks ago, His Lowness stood behind a podium at a rally and made positive accomplishments out of being able to walk down a ramp, and drink from a glass single handed, two things most people do without even thinking about it every day. The prosecution rests. But as much as Trump would like this to be a referendum election, it is actually going to be something else. It is going to be a contrast election. And it’s going to be a contrast election because it’s in Joe Biden’s best interest to make it one. Normally, the differences between the two parties are pastoral and ideological, and listening to the two sides is as comfortable and calming as reading the Sunday paper in your slippers. But because Donald Trump is so corrupt and corrosive, so vicious and petty, so spiteful and divisive, the most effective way to beat him to to offer battle weary voters a stark. linear.choice. And that’s what Biden is doing. Earlier today on MSNBC, Joshua Johnson played the new ad that the Biden campaign just dropped, on the middle class. When the ad was over Johnson said something like, When I watch that ad, I’m torn. On the one hand it features the middle class and is inspirational, classic Biden. But on the other hand it’s a replay of every Democratic ad for the last 50 years. Is Biden playing it too safe? No Joshua, he’s not. From where I’m sitting, Biden is running a bifurcated media strategy, and he’s doing it flawlessly. More and more frequently recently, when Trump says or does something stupid, or there is negative news or a controversy, Biden is taking directly to the airwaves. He slams Trump for his incompetence and the pathetic results, which covers the referendum part of the equation, but by continuing on to espouse simple, common sense solutions, he covers the contrast base as well. Likewise with the advertising, Trump’s aspirational ads are so blatantly and malignantly misleading that four Pinocchio’s should automatically pop up under the Trump 2020 logo at the end. But Trump’s attack ads can’t just attack, or they wouldn’t be Trump. Instead they’re sarcastic, nasty, and demeaning. Red meat for […]

Trump Goes On About Lying and Demeaning in New Ad, the Irony Is Lost...

There are none so deaf as they who will not hear. Trump is always having an old tweet or tape show up to bite him in the butt. The Meidas Touch compiled some of these gaffes into a brand new clip. 📺 NEW VIDEO The more you lie, and demean, and collude, the more credibility you lose. #TrumpHasNoCredibility — (@MeidasTouch) July 5, 2020 Like the song asks, when will they ever learn?
Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs / Flickr trump kushner israel...

New Meidas Touch Ad Showcases Smirking Jared Kushner Gaslighting Us With Trump’s Blessing

If Salvador Dali was to characterize the current Washington hellscape as the Garden of Eden, Jared Kushner would appear as the serpent, hands down. Kushner has been touted as “the de facto president of the United States,” and Trump turned over all the day to day functions of government to unelected-official Kushner early on, which infuriated Steve Bannon. Bannon got himself a seat on the National Security Council, as you may recall, and it was he, not Kushner, who was supposed to be in charge of the realignment of world power. After all, Bannon had read “The Art Of War” when not busy in Hollywood penning screenplays about Shakespearean crips and bloods, so he had the greater claim to knowledge of these matters over Kushner, you see. Jared and Ivanka bopped Bannon, along with Reince Priebus, John Kelly and many others, and they reign supreme in the White House, raking in the cash and disgracing themselves and America in the eyes of the world. Both Jared and Ivanka believe themselves to be masters of the universe and they are oblivious to the fact that they are both twits without substance, and that whatever they’ve done in life has been on daddy’s dime — before it became the taxpayer’s dime, to the tune of $82 Million a year. This video is a good encapsulation of how hubris and failure is ingrained in the Trump family culture.

Kanye West Just Announced To 29.3 Million Twitter Followers He’s Running For President UPDATE

No, I’m not hitting the sauce on 4th of July, but I think Kanye West must be. We must now realize the promise of America by trusting God, unifying our vision and building our future. I am running for president of the United States 🇺🇸! #2020VISION — ye (@kanyewest) July 5, 2020 You have my full support! — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 5, 2020 Oh Lordy he is off his meds again. Please do a well check on him. Does he have fireworks 👀 — Todd O 🅱️🅾️ 🏠 🥀 (@Maltomash) July 5, 2020 You ain't even president of your house🤷🏽‍♀️ — jadarenee (@jadarenee) July 5, 2020 I never wished more that there was a god in heaven this very day. Yet, with this inexplicable dumbfuck move, I have never more certain that they wasn’t. — The Rube Report (@GuadalahonkyToo) July 5, 2020 I know that Melania has lowered the bar for First Lady but I don’t think Kim can slither under it. — Barbara Malmet (@B52Malmet) July 5, 2020 Kanye reading this tweet sober tomorrow morning — Banos 🇯🇲 (@SDR_490) July 5, 2020 What is the most reasonable explanation for this? The people in the alternate universe told Kanye to do this; Kanye had way too much to drink at the bar-b-cue and fell down the 13th Amendment trapdoor; Kim wants to be the next Melania; Somebody lined Kanye’s MAGA hat with mercury and his brain is gone; Kanye is so effing stupid he thinks life really is a TV show, just like Trump. Here’s a great SNL clip that addresses this. UPDATE: 7:55 p.m. PDT Kanye West says he's running for President. He had previously said he was going to run in 2020, but then said he'd postpone his run to 2024 — Christopher Donato (@chrisdonato04) July 5, 2020 Somebody is loaded or crazy or both today. Or, maybe his BFF Donald Trump phoned him and cried that his fee fees were hurt so Kanye decided he’d play president later, ya spose? What a world we live in. But, on the other hand, you can’t blame Kanye. He’s already seen a completely unqualified, mentally unstable moron get elected, why would he think he couldn’t do the same? Trump is sending a terrific message to America.

Trump Campaign Appropriating Nazi, White Supremacist Symbols. These are Not Mistakes.

There comes a point when something can no longer be called a “coincidence” or a “blunder.” We’ve hit that point — passed it, really — with the Trump administration and the campaign (they are one and the same, of course). The Nazis created the “Nazi Eagle,” or the “Iron Eagle,” in the 1920s, according to the Anti-Defamation League. Of course, like other Nazi images, it is now popular with American white supremacists, neo-Nazis and neo-Confederates — the rock-solid core of Trump’s electoral base. So, when we see the logo of the Trump 2020 campaign, should we be surprised? Trumps new logo for 2020 is eerily familiar, where have I seen this before? 🤔 — YS (@NYinLA2121) July 1, 2020 So far this new logo is sold on T-shits that you can get for a cool $30 from the Trump campaign site, which I will not link to because you don’t want the shirt unless you want to give the Trump campaign $30 for the privilege of ceremonially burning it. I wouldn’t bother. As you might imagine, American Jews — or Jews anywhere, I would imagine — are not happy with this. Trump & Pence are proudly displaying a Nazi-inspired shirt on their official campaign website. They are promoting genocidal imagery yet again — just days after President Trump retweeted a video of a supporter chanting “white power.” Link: — Bend the Arc: Jewish Action (@jewishaction) July 1, 2020 Bend the Arc: Jewish Action wrote: It’s not an accident. Bigotry is their entire brand. If some right-wing bootlicker wants to try the “it’s a coincidence” or whatever argument, just respond with this, and don’t forget to punch a Nazi: They look nothing alike — Lyndsay 🎮 (@LyndzLP) July 2, 2020 But the campaign isn’t calling it a mistake. Of course, they’re doubling down on it, claiming that the problem is with the perception and not the reality of the symbol. Trump 2020 communications director Josef Goebbels, er, Tim Murtaugh, said: “In Democrats’ America, Mount Rushmore glorifies white supremacy and the bald eagle with an American flag is a Nazi symbol. They have lost their minds.” Apparently criticism of the logo is “moronic,” in Murtaugh’s words. The “America First” slogan, another key element of the logo, also has a deep, and ugly, history. — usurper (@usurper19) July 2, 2020 Early in his campaign, Trump said: I’m not isolationist, but I am “America First.” So I like the expression. I’m “America First.” Steven Miller and Steve Bannon co-wrote that March 2016 campaign speech. Both Miller and Bannon are neo-Nazis and white supremacists, and were brought into the Trump campaign because, not in spite of, their stances. (Don’t forget, Trump’s first Attorney General, Jeff Sessions, is an unrepentant white supremacist and neo-Confederate.) The America First Committee (AFC) was founded in 1940, and initially focused on its opposition of the US entering the war on either side. Its members included socialists, conservatives, and Americans from prominent and wealthy families. Future US President Gerald Ford was a member, as was future Vice-Presidential candidate Sargent Shriver, future Supreme Court Justice Potter Stewart, and others. But, anti-Semitism and an increasing pro-Nazi slant began to define it, Less than eight weeks before the Pearl Harbor attack, AFC spokesperson Charles Lindbergh delivered a wildly anti-Semitic speech on […]

Every Poll Has TWO Numbers. Why I’m So Up About Biden

If you ever get annoyed, look at me I’m self employed. I love to work at nothing all day   BTO   Taking Care of Business Many moons  ago, in my street rat days as a Chicago political junkie, I once went to a Democratic gathering. It was actually a cross between a seminar and a convention. My reason for going was to meet my idol, iconic Chicago political reporter, Mike Royko. Meet him I did, and it was everything I had hoped for. But I actually ended up spending a significantly greater amount of time with a man who did more to shape the way I look at politics, and especially polls, than anyone in my life. His name was Jacob Perlman, a successful Chicago Democratic strategist, and long time pollster, a subject that has always fascinated me. He was kind enough to sit down at a table with me, and kill off a couple of bottles of Old Style, while he initiated the rookie. And what he said is one of the reasons I’m so bullish on Joe Biden. Kid, he told me, there are actually two numbers in every poll, and the one you can’t see can be as important as the one you do. The poll number you see is the support for your candidate, but there are actually two kinds of support, hard and soft. And the soft number rises or falls exponentially from the hard number. Let’s say that your candidate has 40% support. Basically you can figure that about 3/4 of that is hard support, people are mostly locked in on him. The other 25% is soft support, maybe they just saw a yard sign, or a billboard, and his was the first name that came to mind when the question was asked. Those are people who could change their minds tomorrow. Now, let’s say your candidates support rises to 45%. That should bring his soft support to 35%, right? It doesn’t, it’s actually at 38-39.5%. Don’t ask me why. I think it’s because as a candidates support number climbs, more people wanna ride the winning horse, so they lock in. All I know is that it is what it is. The Holy Grail is, of course 50%. If you can hit that, then your hard support is 48-49%, and you’re gonna be in it to the finish line. If you can hit 53%, then your hard support is at or above 50%, and unless you’re a Republican in Chicago, there’s no way you can lose! After which he laughed in that way that only Democratic political insiders in Chicago can laugh, malicious glee brought on by a good, old fashioned fix. Jesus, that conversation must have been close to 40 years ago, and I’ve never forgotten it. Partly because as I’ve gone on in my life, I’ve regularly applied Perlman’s Principle as I call it to so many races I’ve watched, and never found it to be off by more than 1%. I don’t know why any more than he did, but as he so aptly put it, it is what it is. This is one of the reasons I’m so high on Biden’s chances, and why I basically said that it’s over as long as we don’t get complacent. The latest Monmouth poll has Biden 53-41% nationally. If you use the Perelman Principle, Biden is actually somewhere between 59-51.5% hard support nationally. But don’t forget, the […]

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